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Several friends took the time to donate their HorsePlayerInteractive points to the Long Run Thoroughbred Retirement Society and one of my favourite bloggers, Gathering The Wind, advised that he would be donating to the ReRun Racehorse Rehabilitation Foundation.
Thank you to everyone who took the time to read and get involved. If you have any questions at all, please feel free to drop me a line. My email address is located in my profile.
I think a nice way to end this little piece is to link to the story of Kentucky Derby champion Alysheba being returned to American soil to live out a happy and healthy retirement.
All racehorses deserve this luxury at the end of their career - from $32K claimers to multiple G1 winners.
* * *
And on to the Breeders' Cup!
Attempting to win at the BCC with multi-race exotics will be an expensive and fruitless experience unless you have an unlimited bankroll. To make money this year, you must play smart and bet exactors or straight win bets if you want to survive the weekend. The reason? Synthetic surfaces are inconsistent and change from day to day and race to race.
On Woodbine's synthetic surface, betting a Pick Six or the now defunct Pick Seven is a near impossible task. Woodbine's synthetic surface is just too flaky and unpredictable to advance wager with confidence, and I say that despite having plenty of local form to look at. A luxury not afforded to handicappers in Santa Anita. I watched nearly the entire Wednesday card for Woodbine this meet and can say definitely (maybe) that polytrack played differently each week. If Woodbine's surface had one consistent feature on Wednesday, it would be that races tended to speed up as the night went on.
In a nutshell, polytrack is Jekyll & Hyde with ADD. I watched a six furlong track record set on a Wednesday, as well as some races so slow that track announcer Dan Loiselle sounded like he was broadcasting in the wrong RPM.
Anyone trying to find bias at Santa Anita is wasting their time. If anything, you will learn the most about the track by watching the races THAT DAY and adjusting your race scenarios accordingly which effectively kills off any chance of handicapping a Pick 6 with confidence.
Will speed carry? Will voices carry? You'll have to wait till tuesday for the experts and bloggers to sort it out.
For a relevant recent sample, I printed out the full result charts from Santa Anita for Friday October 10th and Friday October 17th.
Friday October 10th had two races at a mile or more, both won by stalkers - defined as fourth at the half or better for this argument. The same card featured four races under a mile, three of which were won by stalkers - though one hot favourite did wire the field.
Friday October 17th featured three races at a mile, all of which were won wire-to-wire. The same card featured three races under a mile which were all won by stalkers.
What can be gleaned from this admittedly small sample? Perhaps that you are looking for a stalker in sprints and a horse that stays close to the pace over a mile.
An interesting anomaly? That 12 race sample featured five winners from post position five.
I'm convinced the key to handicapping Filly & Mares Friday is to eliminate horses with bad experience on synthetic, and increase the Beyer number on horses with no experience on synthetic in case they like the surface. Pay close attention to those that have form on poly and try to find a balance.
With that in mind, here's my picks!
Thank you to everyone who took the time to read and get involved. If you have any questions at all, please feel free to drop me a line. My email address is located in my profile.
I think a nice way to end this little piece is to link to the story of Kentucky Derby champion Alysheba being returned to American soil to live out a happy and healthy retirement.
All racehorses deserve this luxury at the end of their career - from $32K claimers to multiple G1 winners.
* * *
And on to the Breeders' Cup!
Attempting to win at the BCC with multi-race exotics will be an expensive and fruitless experience unless you have an unlimited bankroll. To make money this year, you must play smart and bet exactors or straight win bets if you want to survive the weekend. The reason? Synthetic surfaces are inconsistent and change from day to day and race to race.
On Woodbine's synthetic surface, betting a Pick Six or the now defunct Pick Seven is a near impossible task. Woodbine's synthetic surface is just too flaky and unpredictable to advance wager with confidence, and I say that despite having plenty of local form to look at. A luxury not afforded to handicappers in Santa Anita. I watched nearly the entire Wednesday card for Woodbine this meet and can say definitely (maybe) that polytrack played differently each week. If Woodbine's surface had one consistent feature on Wednesday, it would be that races tended to speed up as the night went on.
In a nutshell, polytrack is Jekyll & Hyde with ADD. I watched a six furlong track record set on a Wednesday, as well as some races so slow that track announcer Dan Loiselle sounded like he was broadcasting in the wrong RPM.
Anyone trying to find bias at Santa Anita is wasting their time. If anything, you will learn the most about the track by watching the races THAT DAY and adjusting your race scenarios accordingly which effectively kills off any chance of handicapping a Pick 6 with confidence.
Will speed carry? Will voices carry? You'll have to wait till tuesday for the experts and bloggers to sort it out.
For a relevant recent sample, I printed out the full result charts from Santa Anita for Friday October 10th and Friday October 17th.
Friday October 10th had two races at a mile or more, both won by stalkers - defined as fourth at the half or better for this argument. The same card featured four races under a mile, three of which were won by stalkers - though one hot favourite did wire the field.
Friday October 17th featured three races at a mile, all of which were won wire-to-wire. The same card featured three races under a mile which were all won by stalkers.
What can be gleaned from this admittedly small sample? Perhaps that you are looking for a stalker in sprints and a horse that stays close to the pace over a mile.
An interesting anomaly? That 12 race sample featured five winners from post position five.
I'm convinced the key to handicapping Filly & Mares Friday is to eliminate horses with bad experience on synthetic, and increase the Beyer number on horses with no experience on synthetic in case they like the surface. Pay close attention to those that have form on poly and try to find a balance.
With that in mind, here's my picks!
Filly and Mare Sprint
1. Ventura
2. Intangaroo
3. Zaftif
LS - Miraculous Miss - If this race has the speed duel expected, there will be ample closing possibilities.
Juvenile Fillies Turf
1. C Karma - Exchange Rate's do well on the turf. Look Out!
2. Consequence
3. Saucey Evening
Juvenile Fillies
1. C.S. Silk
2. Stardom Bound
3. Pursuit Of Glory
LS - Van Lear Rose and Dave's Revenge
Filly and Mare Turf
1. Mauralakana (FR)
2. Halfway to Heaven (IRE)
3. Folk Opera (IRE)
Distaff
1. Zenyatta
2. Cocoa Beach
3. Ginger Punch
All the best on your wagering this afternoon. Depending on how successful I am with Day One, I may post again for Day two of the Breeders Cup!
Beware the Woodbine invaders!
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