Square Eddie had a rough trip in the Lexington leaving the gate late and then moving for the lead too early. If
Square Eddie looked a bit rusty, he should have - it was his first start in three months. Internet peeps and tweets suggest that he's too slow for the Derby even though his Brisnet speed figures are consistently 90+, including a career best 100 figure in the BC Juvenile. Calm down everyone, it's one race off a layoff and he can improve on that. Am I saying
Square Eddie will win the Derby? No - that's a job for
Friesan Fire, but let's not forget that
Square Eddie is a very good horse.
Sometimes I wonder about the speed rating systems of various handicapping outlets.
West Side Bernie received a 107 from Brisnet in his loss to
I Want Revenge in the Wood. By comparison,
Quality Road earned a 103 burning up the track and defeating interweb darling
Dunkirk. How many of you are backing
West Side Bernie in the Derby over those listed above? It's all situational, I know, but these ratings systems sometimes don't add up.
Advice winning the 2009 Lexington Stakes
2 comments:
" I know, but these ratings systems sometimes don't add up"
I totally agree. Dunkirk earned a 78 Beyer first time out, but you could see there was at least another 20 points in him (and now, as we've learned, 30).
Context is everything. Replays must be watched.
I love Dancing Allstar! Good to see her in form, and hopefully ready for another big year.
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