Showing posts with label Woodbine Watch List. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Woodbine Watch List. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 9, 2009

Weekend Wrapup - Outrageous Odds, The Watchlist and $500 Exactors

Recently, a hectic travel schedule including a soujourn to Belmont has kept Triple Dead Heat from the weekly task of monitoring the Woodbine Watch List and Outrageous Odds.

As part of an ongoing experiment, the Woodbine Watch List tracks horses who raced their way into trouble at Woodbine but showed some gumption despite the adversity. I've been compiling the adventures of these unlucky horses and following their future results to see if the altercation is a sign of delayed success.

Recent success includes Dick Whittington who scored second time out at Fort Erie. Dick Whittington was closing well following a slow start on April 4th to finish third at the $10K claiming level. First time back to the track after that event, the horse doubled up in class and finished a well-beaten sixth. In his most recent start, Dick Whittington was dropped back into a winnable claiming spot and responded to win by a head for jockey and Tweeter Melanie Pinto.

Montrose Avenue is a horse who might follow this path to success in Wednesday night's fifth race. Montrose Avenue made the Watch List on April 12th after recovering from a horrendous start to gallop out well in a five furlong affair. Montrose Avenue raced again on April 26th finishing second to a 40-1 bomb and subsequently tried racing on the lead May 16th to finish third. On Wednesday night, trainer Nick Gonzalez has entered Montrose Avenue into a 6 1/2 furlong race and switched to jockey Chantal Sutherland. I expect the added distance should result in success.

This week's addition to the Watch List is Firestone Farms' Witch's Coven. On Saturday June 6th, Witch's Coven started slow, was steadied and then charged six-wide through the stretch to finish third. The race featured ten fillies travelling just 4 1/2 furlongs in a $69K MSW. Clearly this race will serve as an excellent learning experience for the young filly. Expect trainer David Bell to have Witch's Coven brewing up trouble in her next start. I'll post a notification on this site to remind regular readers.

Triple Dead Heat's other weekly feature, Outrageous Odds, details the story of one of the more lucrative payouts of the past week. This week's outrageous story is one that cost me a few dollars. In Sunday's eighth race, I was well pleased with myself for finding value in 8-1 shot Go Juice. Jockey Tyler Pizarro was having a fine day, already having scored a Stakes victory with Woodsmoke, and his mount was clearly being overlooked in this event by a mostly newbie Woodbine Oaks crowd. Having decided to toss out the lukewarm favourite, Tomahawk Sister, I instead looked at the pairing of Moonlit Beauty and Chantal Sutherland. (Surely these two are due a Wednesday night score.) With post-time minutes away and somewhat distracted by my photography duties, I boxed the pair in a neat little exactor.

The race featured fourteen fillies and mares travelling 6 1/2F on the polytrack and the race went kaput from the opening bell with all sorts of bumps and breaks. Somehow, Steve Bahen squeezed Lucky N' Bold through the mess to make the lead travelling relatively quick fractions of 22.69 and 46.00 for a group of $69K MSW. Patrick Husbands and Saforica chased the leader with Chantal and Moonlit Beauty content to stalk from fifth position. My value pick was sitting ninth at the half with Megavella and Constant Montpelier just outside them in twelth.
As the group approached the turn, Pizarro made a stunning rail move and drove to the lead. Sutherland and Moonlit Beauty chased after Go Juice and finally squeezed in front deep in the lane. What a win! Megavella, at odds of 55-1, charged up the rail to nip a fading Lucky N' Bold for third. I was ecstatic, 4-1 over 8-1 would be a nifty exactor and I headed off to the paddock to commence picture duties for the Oaks.

Little did I know, as I was snapping shots of Joe Talamo and Stewart Elliot, the stewards were busy reviewing footage of the start. Coming out of the gate, Moonlit Beauty broke outward and bumped 45-1 shot Moonlight Mile off her feet effectively ending her race. It was 'good night nurse' for my ticket that could have been. With Moonlit Beauty disqualified and placed last, Megavella (55-1) moved into the exactor spot to combine with my value pick of Go Juice (8-1) for a Mega-Juicy exactor worth $511.80. Ouch. The triactor with Lucky N' Bold (5-1) paid $2,298.20 and the Superfecta delivered a whopping $22,028.45 for your dollar.

Just goes to show that if you really like a horse, it's worth while to go a dollar up and down the board in exactors.

* * *

Patrick Husbands continues to run away with the lead in the Woodbine jockey standings with 56 wins. Chantal Sutherland's 35 wins is good for second place. Husbands has hit the board with 127 of his 225 mounts and is the model of consistency. I expect that veteran Jim McAleney will make a dent in Husbands lead as the summer moves on. The journeyman is making the most of his 166 mounts with 25 wins, 21 times placed and 29 turns helping a punter out in the show spot.



Nick Gonzalez is leading the local trainers with 14 wins from 67 starts. Mark Casse, Scott Fairlie and Malcolm Pierce are tied for second with 13 wins apiece. Fairlie scored huge this weekend when Milwaukee Appeal won the Woodbine Oaks as the conditioner made the nifty move of bringing in Stewart Elliot to secure the win. Malcolm Pierce and Mark Casse could square off in the Queen's Plate with El Brujo and Active Duty respectively.



I'll post again later this week with some interesting shopping finds including a 1946 Belmont Park program. (At least I'll be able to pick a winner from that book!)

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Woodbine Wrapup: Success For The Woodbine Watch List and another edition of Outrageous Odds

As part of an ongoing experiment, I have been tracking horses who raced their way into trouble at Woodbine but showed some gumption despite the adversity. The adventures of these unlucky horses are compiled in my Woodbine Watch List. The goal is to chronicle the mis-adventure and then follow the upcoming results to see if the altercation is a sign of delayed success.

I am happy to report that Woodbine Watch List success finally arrived on Friday courtesy of Home In Two who won impressively as the favourite in a $25K claiming route. Patrick Husbands charged from the back of the pack to win in a driving finish by 2 1/4 lengths. Home In Two paid $3.80 to win.

There was more success for the Woodbine Watch List on Sunday, of a sort, when Caledon Cat won second time out after a difficult trip returning to the $7500 claiming level at Fort Erie. Caledon Cat paid $8.90 to win.

More second time out success as Legal Move ran well to finish second to Stuck In Traffic in Saturday's New Providence Stakes. Legal Move paid $6.10 to place and the exactor with Stuck in Traffic was a generous $90.80.

Master Michael finished in a dead heat for fifth first back in a $60K MSW when he raced six horses wide into the stretch yet dug in gamely through the stretch. Perhaps Master Michael will be another second time after the infraction success story.

Hello Moneypenny stalked well but when asked for more showed not much response flattening out to finish seventh up for a claim at $50K going six furlongs. I'll keep an eye for this one's second start.

Awake By Noon is another watch list horse who first time after the poor trip stalked and then flattened out. Awake By Noon finished fifth in a $12.5K claimer going 1 1/16 at the $12.5K claiming level.

And finally, Up Up made the watch list after a difficult trip at long odds. According to my notes from his troubled outing, "At 100-1, Up Up broke in air forcing jockey Krista Carignan to sit 12th of 14 runners in a seven furlong affair. Still tenth at the top of the stretch, Carignan rallied the Jim Day horse up for sixth in a tight finish with three necks and a couple spare lengths in front of her. At 100-1, I’ll take a little show action next time out."
Up Up finished sixth this past Friday in a seven horse field at odds of 18-1. No doubt the odds will rise again in the next start for Up Up. We'll see if the horse bounces back.

This week's addition to the Woodbine Watch List is Stolen Art. Trained by Nicholas Nosowenko, Stolen Art was robbed of victory Wednesday night after a difficult start in a ten horse field at the $38K MSW level. Still racing in tenth at the quarter marker in the seven furlong affair, Pizarro sped full throttle past Full Throttle, had no trouble with Trouble Today and stepped past Water Moccasin with ease. By the top of the stretch, Stolen Art was gaining rapidly but as the horses fanned out through the turn, Pizarro was checked at the rail and by the time he regained his run Stolen Art could only chase home Reservoir to finish second. Clearly, Reservoir with Jim McAleney aboard had plenty in reserve through the stretch. We'll see if Stolen Art returns to the scene of the crime to draw up a winning result next out. Full chart of the race can be found here: Stolen Art Full Chart

Triple Dead Heat's other weekly feature Outrageous Odds details the story of one of the more lucrative payouts of the past week. Saturday's ninth race featured a full fourteen horse field of $12.5K claimers racing six furlongs on the polytrack. Chantal Sutherland was piloting lukewarm favourite Shekina West (5/2) who went south after chasing a front running Hong Kong Amy (9-1)for a mere twenty-two seconds. Second choice, Shanghai Fury (5-1), moved up to join Hong Kong Amy combining for a far-eastern front that worked efficiently to the top of the stretch until a monster charge of a half-dozen horses threatened to stomp on all the leaders had built. Swooping wide into the stretch came Looking For Action (8-1), Kesten (67-1), Still Learning (9-1) and Gina L( 20-1.) Still Learning with Corey Fraser looked desperately for room in the stretch and was checked by Dean Deverell's Kesten. Hong Kong Amy fought bravely but could not hold her lead and in the shadow of the wire Gerry Olguin, looking for racing room, moved Looking For Action to a safe position seven-wide to win in commanding fashion. Looking For Action paid $18.90 to win, and with Kesten (67-1) arriving in time for place ahead of Still Learning (9-1) the trio combined to make a two-dollar triactor worth $29,154.30. Even the exactor was a gargantuan $885.20 proving once again that the 'All" button was invented for horses with odds like 67-1. Please click here to review the race chart.

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Nick Gonzalez has come alive winning the New Providenece Stakes with Stuck In Traffic this weekend and now has ten wins in 36 starts with earnings of $422,993. Mark Casse, Reade Baker and Scott Fairlie are in a TRIPLE DEAD HEAT for second place with seven wins apiece. Malcolm Pierce is hitting the board at an impressive 50% rate with six wins, three seconds and a show in just 19 starts.

Trainer Standings


Patrick Husbands could hop on a goat, ride backwards around the track and still win. Just last Wednesday I swear I saw Husbands win a six furlong sprint without a horse. Currently, the leading jockey has 32 wins which is twice as many as nearest competitor Emile Ramsammy. Tyler Pizarro is doing very well in a limited 76 mounts hitting the board 43 times.

Jockey Standings


There were a few notable performances this past weekend. Members of Club Three Chimneys will have noted the awesome victory by Exchange Note. The gelding is yet another Exchange Rate offspring to excel on the Woodbine polytrack. Last year Woodbine fans watched two year-olds Southern Exchange and Juliet's Spirit run away with stakes wins.
This past Sunday, the Florida bred Exchange Note raced to victory in an MSW with a 99 Beyer rating. Exchange Note covered 6 furlongs in 1:08.92. Add that one to your watch list and keep an eye on Exchange Rate progeny racing at Woodbine. It's long been held that Exchange Rate offspring are turfers and there does seem to be a correlation now with the polytrack.
Still on my watch list, Southern Exchange last worked out on Friday in the mud at Aqueduct covering 5F in 1:02.12 and is entered in Friday's fourth race at Woodbine - an $80K optional claimer. Juliet's Spirit worked yesterday at Churchill Downs breezing 4F in 52 flat.

Queen's Plate contender Eye Of The Leopard, by A.P. Indy won a maiden allowance on Sunday wiring the field at a distance of 1 1/16 miles earning a 74 Beyer Figure. Meanwhile, Parabola worked 5F in 1:00.80 on Sunday and will likely be pointing towards the much-needed distance of the Plate Trial.

Thorougbred racing action returns to Woodbine on Wednesday evening. Post-time is 6:45PM.

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Another Unfortunate Edition of The Horse That Should Have Won...

After all the hoopla of Kentucky Derby weekend and Mine That Bird's long shot launch along the rail, it was strange to go back over the prices from the past week at Woodbine and discover that no one really shook the foundations of the tote board. That said, we still had some interesting races to choose for our weekly features Outrageous Odds (chronicling the best payout of the week) and the Woodbine Watch List (detailing the horse that would've, should've, could've won and then didn't.)

The best action for your two dollar bet would come in Friday's sixth race won by Chantal Sutherland aboard William Sorokolit's Distant Kain. The race featured nine three year-old fillies contesting a distance of 5 1/2F. Patrick Husbands was looking unbeatable on a fast filly by the name of Kid Sparkle (2-1), while joint second choice picks, Third Time Lucky (3-1) and Eva's World (3-1) were also well bet . As you have likely guessed, things did not go according to plan.

The gate opened and eight horses rushed out, which is not so good in a nine horse race, especially if you had wagered on Emile Ramsammy and Eva's World. Still, the chalk bettors were bug-eyed and smiling as Husbands stole to the lead with Kid Sparkle easily outshining Roderick Dacosta and Chemistry Flash (14-1) to the 3/8 pole. Third Time Lucky sat patiently in third position waiting to make a move, but the real action was happening behind that front three where Eurico Rosa Da Silva was ready to go crazy with the Danny Vella trained D'Wild Lady (7-1.) At the top of the stretch Da Silva made his move four wide circling the leaders to take on soon-to-be lacklustre Kid Sparkle. From the very back of the pack, Chantal Sutherland was urging the aptly named Distant Kain (13-1) to make her run and with a furious charge Sutherland nipped past a dull Kid Sparkle and edged D'Wild Lady at the wire. What made the payout pay was Dean Deverell taking the longest shot on the board, Nice Lady (50-1), and coaxing the pleasant filly from eighth to third.

Had you planned your filly financing fully, a two-dollar triple trouble wager on a lady (Sutherland) over two other ladies (D'wild Lady and Nice Lady) would have made you $2,948.90 richer. (I didn't have it, so I'll add it to my collection of Outrageous Odds.)

Our other weekly feature, the Woodbine Watch List, looks back fondly on races won by the wrong horse. You know, the third place finisher who started his run too late; the 50-1 bomb who ran into traffic; the horse that zigged when he should have zagged. Just your typical racetrack tough beat.

This week's watch occurs in Wednesday night's sixth race. Our protagonist is Hurry Murray, a humble $10K claimer taking on eight other boys in a 5 1/2F sprint. Hurry Murray was made the 3-1 favourite and stood a good chance with crafty Justin Stein in the irons. Little did the five year-old gelding know that the race would be over before it started. While Stein and his charge were loaded into gate, Hard Ice (11-1) and Sunday Prince (4-1) sat hungrily in the stalls outside the favourite and when the gate opened the two horses made a sandwich of poor Hurry Murray. Jostled to the back of the pack, our hero was ninth of nine horses at the quarter pole. Never fear, Stein got to work on his trusty steed picking off claimers one-by-one. Hurry Murray, smoothly stroked past Theboycanswim (5-1), made a fool of Danzigs Trick (33-1) and took on Taken (8-1) by the top of the stretch. Now in full out run, Stein found his second obstacle of the race, a five-wide barrier of horsetail, but with a sharp tug Stein sent Hurry Murray on a sharp left-turn to the rail and began a full out drive. Tellingly, from the middle of that five-wide barrier, emerged Emile Ramsammy and Bearoak (16-1) with a blazing move. Within yards of the wire, track announcer Dan Loiselle called, "Hurry Murray's white face is flying at the fence..." Can he do it? Hurry Murray hurry!! But as this story always goes, Bearoak's unimpeded drive to the wire was just too much to overcome and Hurry Murray lost by a long white nose. Better luck next time friend. We'll add you to the Woodbine Watch List.

Upcoming entries from past guests on the Woodbine Watch List include:

Home in Two - Pat Husbands - May 8th, Race 2.

Up Up - K. Carignan - May 8th, Race 1.

Awake By Noon - C. Beckon - May 8th, Race 5

Hello Moneypenny - EJ Wilson - May 8th, Race 7

Recent results from the Woodbine Watch list include:

Bear's Lightning - 2nd - May 1st, Race 7 (And he had to avoid traffic to do it!)

Yesterday's weekend wrapup arrived incomplete without the usual update on Jockey and Trainer standings so without further ado. Here you go!

Patrick Husbands is dominating the win column with 22 victories and earnings of over a million dollars. Emile Ramsammy is chiseling away with 15 wins and Eurico Rosa da Silva is third with 12 notches on his belt. Chantal Sutherland is hitting the board often, throwing up a triple double with ten wins, eleven times placed and sixteen show trips to her name.



Nick Gonzalez leads the trainers through the week once again with eight victories but Reade Baker and Scott Fairlie are keeping close with seven cashed win bets each. Malcolm Pierce has earned a nifty $403,687 thanks to El Brujo and a lot of hard work.

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Exactor Wagers Looking Profitable as Morning Line Odds Announced

The post positions for the 2009 Kentucky Derby were drawn this afternoon in Louisville. I Want Revenge has been listed as the 3-1 morning line favourite and will start from post thirteen. Dunkirk (4-1) and Pioneerof The Nile (4-1) will stand side-by-side in stalls fifteen and sixteen as joint second choice. My pick for the Derby, Friesan Fire (5-1), will start from post six for trainer Larry Jones.

I'm nodding my head and opening my wallet as I look at the morning line odds of Papa Clem (20-1), Regal Ransom (30-1), Chocolate Candy (20-1), General Quarters (20-1) and Desert Party (15-1.) Most handicappers around the blogosphere will be looking for a solid underneath play for Exactors and Triactors and the five horses listed above offer great value.

Click on the link for access to FREE Kentucky Derby Past Performances



A full analysis of the Kentucky Derby will be posted online Friday evening. As well, I will be Twittering Derby updates all day Saturday.

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The latest edition of the Woodbine Watch List is a little sparse as I was out on a few racing related field trips over the past week. However, I did spot one particular tough-luck race featuring a slow start, a steady and traffic trouble followed by a game finish. The horse in question is Steve Asmussen's Bayland who came out of the gate last of twelve and bounced his way around the track to finish fourth. As the horses turned into the stretch, Bayland was poised under jockey Luis Contreras but suddenly veered to the rail and into traffic. Contreras gathered him up and got him running straight, but too late to win. That's a lot of wasted energy over six furlongs so hopefully a clear path will mean better results next out.

The next out stats of the Woodbine Watch List have been more miss than hit thus far as many of the candidates are pushed to a higher level in their next start. However, on April 26th, Montrose Avenue finished second in a $60K MSW. Ridden by Emma-Jayne Wilson, Montrose Avenue went off as the favourite and stalked from fourth only to be pushed very wide on the turn and outraced to the finish by a 40-1 bomb. So close to garnering a first victory for the Woodbine Watch List.



April 29 - Woodbine Watch List




April 24th's eighth race was a goldmine for Woodbine punters when Special Executive vetoed all opponents and declared himself a winner paying $68.70. The exactor with Jazz Boy in for place was a lovely $491.20 and the dollar superfecta paid $18,163.70. Jockey Dean Deverell made a brave move mid-stretch to dive between horses and find a lane just off the rail and held off a late charging Jazz Boy (6-1) in a photo finish. With the favourite off the board, all winning bets were paying to the extreme.



April 29 - Outrageous Odds




Woodbine's Wednesday night racing makes its 2009 debut this evening. Post time is 6:45PM.

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Staying Connected: Twitterin' Joe Talamo and the blog of Garrett Gomez

For the past year, racing fans all over the blogosphere have been making noise about the industry needing to connect with the fans. Well, it seems as though change is happening. I logged into my Triple Dead Heat account on Twitter the other day and discovered that none other than Joe Talamo has added me as a friend! Now if that's not at attempt to connect with racing fans, I don't know what is. On Talamo's Twitter page you can find all sorts of neat insights and I hope he keeps running with it. Check out a sample below.


If you're looking for a more personal account of one of the true stars of racing, then why not check out the Garrett Gomez blog. How relevant is this blog? It's so relevant, it's where Gomez made his announcement to the racing world that he would be choosing (correctly) Pioneerof The Nile in the Derby rather than Dunkirk.

As well, we've seen the TV show Jockeys welcomed back for a second season which surely means someone must be watching. I think it's a classy touch that Jockeys has a prominent spot on their website to promote sponsoring a thoroughbred.

I can personally attest that the return of Chantal Sutherland to Woodbine has provided a certain spark to this meet. Sutherland has become a bona fide star courtesy of Jockeys and you could really feel the excitement on opening day at Woodbine.

Top notch stallion farm Three Chimneys has put their best foot forward by launching Club Three Chimneys to provide fans with email updates, free merchandise and farm tours.

The Daily Racing Form is stepping up by providing us with Derby Contender Workouts!

There are some excellent user groups on Facebook such as Down The Stretch and the brilliant Thoroughbred Racing in In New York which features photos and member write-ups courtesy of Ernie Munick.
Facebook also provides a home to Derby contender Quality Road.

All in all, between Tweeting, Facebook and live streaming video of races it's a pretty good time to be a racing fan. If you're willing to make the effort, there is a lot of information right at your fingertips. Those of you watching from home should really make the effort to get out to your local track!

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The Woodbine Watch List had its first competitor this past week when Dick Whittington doubled up in class and finished out of the money. Slade Callaghan kept the cat up close to the top of the stretch before fading badly to finish sixth. A classic case of a reach in terms of class.

Caledon Cat will be next up on the Wooodbine Watch List racing 7F on April 24th in Race 8 . This one stays at the $10K claiming level and should fair much better. The WWL note states:
"Race 10, 5F - Caledon Cat languished lazily early on contentedly tenth at the top of the stretch before pouncing at the wire to finish third behind Wild Diamond and Trevon’s Glory. An extra furlong could see this cat nip a win next time out."
Here is the official entry.

One horse I've really been waiting for is Queen ofthe Castle who absolutely bombed down a slow rail in her last outing. According to the WWL note:
"Race 5, 5F - Tenth of ten in the early running, this first time starter figured things out too late but made a great run deep in the stretch railing home to be fourth."
Queen ofthe Castle returns on April 24th going 5 1/2F. Tough competition in this $69K MSW, but she should be there in the late going. Here is the official entry. *Note the first time lasix.

This week's toughest trip belongs to Up Up. Oh, what could have been. At 100-1, Up Up broke in air forcing jockey Krista Carignan to sit 12th of 14 runners in a seven furlong affair. Still tenth at the top of the stretch, Carignan rallied the Jim Day horse through traffic to sixth in a tight finish with three necks and a couple spare lengths in front of her. At 100-1, I’ll take a little show action next time out.


April 21 - Woodbine Watch List



There were not as many Outrageous Odds to report this week, though April 18th's fifth race provided a particularly juicy $165,856.25 Superfecta available for a buck when 5-1 shot Bear's Practitioner beat 60-1 shot Dr. Funkenstein to the wire in the fifth race on April 18th. Chantal Sutherland got 30-1 bomb Quiet Approval up for third with Patrick Husbands hustling Gallant (6-1) to the wire fourth. It should be noted there was only $45,079 in the pool. Still, that's one heckuva payout!


April 21 - Outrageous Odds




One final note, April 19th's 1st race featured a horse with a name officially approved by Triple Dead Heat. The horse in question is Lost In The Blog. Ridden by Matt Moore, Lost In The Blog finished last at 5-1. Nowhere to go but up!

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Strip Joint Superfecta and This Week's Edition of Woodbine Watch and Outrageous Odds

Friday's eighth race at Woodbine provided a potential tongue twister for track announcer Dan Loiselle when three lovely ladies and a bit of shame combined for a modest $191.95 Superfecta. Woodbine patrons had rained down a lot of money on Fanci Candi and were expecting a big performance. However, the fans were shocked when Smart Blonde danced out of the starting gate to a commanding lead. The stars began to align when Sexy Sheri pushed up at the (3/8) pole and began to grind away at Smart Blonde. As the two ladies tussled for attention down the lane, Fanci Candi finally got her act together but it was much too late as Smart Blonde let it all hang out, outkicking Sexy Sheri to the wire with the favoured Fancy Candi settling in third position. Fittingly, Red With Guilt was up for fourth to complete the Superfecta.

Strip Joint Superfecta Paid $192.50. Champagne For Everyone!


If you were watching on Easter Sunday, then you'll have caught Lori's Bunny hopping to a win at 9-2 in the opener. Loiselle was quick to point out the Easter hunch bet as David Garcia found the wire with the bay filly by Swampster out of Funny Bunny. This is one race where I wish I had put all my eggs in one basket.

This week's edition of the Woodbine Watch List has several new additions. The best non-winning performance of the week comes from Chantal Sutherland and Caledon Cat. It was the tenth race on Saturday's card and Caledon Cat languished lazily early on contentedly sitting tenth at the top of the stretch before pouncing at the wire to finish third behind Wild Diamond and Trevon’s Glory. An extra furlong could see this cat nip a win next time out.

Poor puns aside, another horse that looked great was Montrose Avenue. The favourite, ridden by Emma-Jayne Wilson, forgot to leave the gate but Wilson calmly held his run making a late move to finish fifth. The result was a lot closer than it appears on paper as he was beaten a head, 3/4, 3/4, and a neck. The strong gallop out suggests the favourite will win at next asking, hopefully at better odds than 4-5.

Our first return starter on the Woodbine Watch List makes a quick trip back to the track. Dick Whittington jumps from his third place finish in a 5F $10K claimer up to a $20K claimer but gets added distance going 6 1/2F. An 11-1 shot last time looks in tough spot but we know from the chart that he finished strongly. Here is the official entry for Friday's fourth race.

The Woodbine Watch List can be enlarged for easier reading or printed out to take to the track. Click on the Scribd document below to work with its fun features!


April 14 - Woodbine Watch List




More than a few HorsePlayer Interactive customers lined their pockets this past week as exactor payouts were out of control. I'm an exactor better trying to graduate to the Pick 4 scene but with payouts like $272.30, $305.60, 591.80 and 273.40 over the course of three days of racing, maybe I should just keep it simple. Those of you that bet superfectas had a shot at $12,810.55 and $27,596.05 on your dollar wager. Details and links to the charts are in the Scribd document below.


April 14 - Outrageous Odds



Finally, today is my birthday. Thank you to all the well wishers on Facebook and Twitter! I'm getting old but not as old as the Queen's Plate which celebrates its 150th birthday this year. Yikes!

Tuesday, April 7, 2009

Woodbine Watch List: The Would've Should've Could've Non-Winners

Nothing troubles a handicapper more than the horse that should have won. Sometimes a sure winner is done in by a slow start. Sometimes, the better horse simply ran into traffic trouble and could never get clear to launch a victory gallop. As a handicapper who continually checks Form notes for horses that have been steadied or otherwise impeded, Triple Dead Heat will chronicle the unfortunate circumstances of the Woodbine winners that never were. These sad stories will be posted on the Woodbine Watch List.

If things go as expected, we will all be rich by the end of the summer. If things go as they always have, then the trainer will likely jump the horse up in class for another mid-pack finish draining my account accordingly. Regardless, I'll be tracking the instance of misfortune and return on investment next time out. Wager at your own risk! This week's sparkling non-winners include Doneraile Gem, Legal Move and Queen ofthe Castle.

(This list is printable and can be enlarged for easy reading. Enjoy)

Woodbine Watch List - April 7, 2009

Partnering this list will a new feature by the name of Outrageous Odds. This weekly list will compile a review of the Woodbine payouts that should have made for early retirement. Everyone has a story of the triactor that got away and Tuesday will be our special time to remember what could have been in the previous week. This week's instalment includes a ridiculous $100,000 Superfecta. That's the sort of ROI that makes me think I'm better investing with HorsePlayer Interactive than my stock broker!
Outrageous Odds




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If you have yet to sign up for Club Three Chimneys, you may want to act fast as you are missing out on some informative fan club emails pointing out Three Chimneys related starters. The trends listed out in the emails could very well point to some future winners at the track. Plus, you get a slew of cool swag. Check it out, for $35, it's a solid investment.

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Some of the best writing on the net at the moment comes courtesy of my favourite racetrack entertainer Ernie Munick. If you have not signed up for his Thoroughbred Racing In New York Facebook Group, then you are missing out on some gems. Check out this excerpt from the latest TRNY posting regarding TRNY Member of the Week, Adam Wiener:

"We have jockeys and owners and breeders and trainers, and singers and writers and sculptors and painters, and doctors and lawyers, and students and teachers, and countless who live for the care of their creatures; cops and librarians, documentarians; photographers, biographers, not yet pornographers; Middle Eastern, Korean, much European; Catholics and Protestants, Buddhists and Jews, the erstwhile leader of CBS News. Which brings us to Adam, our man of the week, I need to pull over and let Wiener speak. "


Classic material that racing fans from all over the world should not be missing out on. Hup!

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One last link before signing off, Down The Stretch editor Peter Gross has a well-written blog of his own and today's post details his latest ventures into standardbred ownership. Peter's work is always original and never fails to make me laugh out loud. Check out Peter's latest post by clicking here.